About Ask Standard Predictor

The Ask Standard Predictor (ASP) measures abuse and violence risk. The ASP was made in 2010 by Robert John Zagar and William M. Gove with a sample of 1,127 youth and 1,595 adults. The surveys were validated on 236 youth and adults who had 120 different jobs in 2013. The ASP is a self-report survey and a behavior rating survey. The ASP has true and false and multiple-choice questions. The ASP can be completed in 10 minutes each. The accuracy or precision (sensitivity or miss rate, specificity or hit rate) is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) or area under the curve (AUC) = .99 (adults), .91 (youth), .96 (combined), and .97 (validation).

Short survey

Easy to use

Consistent results

For different persons, places, and times

WHY CHOOSE OUR PRODUCTS?

Over 16 years the Ask Standard Predictor [ASP] (youth) helped Chicago businesses & industry prevent 1,000 killings. This saved $3.8B (@3.8M/homicide) by targeting high risk youth with jobs, mentors, and anger training. During 4 years, the ASP (adult) helped Cook County President move nonviolent prisoners to jobs & electronic monitoring. This saved $480M. The ASP books (math & science and cases & case studies) aided Pope Francis. He changed canonical law to solve the U.S. pedophilia bankruptcy issue by defining the offenses. 

Workplaces (Brain Picture)

Rising homicides & mass shootings are expensive (due to lost work productivity, 80 fewer jobs/year following massacre, 2 fewer business startups/year/murder, and 4% lower home values after killing). This violence results in higher insurance premiums and exclusions, with increased taxes. Workers with mental health issues access Employee Assistance Programs (EAP). Using computer tests, equation surveys helps prevent the loss of life and money with objective, reliable, & valid diagnosis for treatment. Airline pilots, clinics-hospital workers and patients, energy and nuclear power employees, military, police, and volatile transportation workers can use cost beneficial computer tests & equation surveys. Disability, health, life, personal injury, workers compensation premiums can be lowered when computer tests and equation surveys are used. This helps raise the business profits due to improved productivity and happy, healthy workers. An example of how computer tests and equation surveys could be applied is a discussion on serial murderer Andrew Cunanan in this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_bT17mY1n10

Research (RG)

The ASP adult, 11 and 13 youth survey questions were consistently replicated 4 times using a sample of 2,272) (1 time independently).  Shao’s bootstrapped logistic regressions improve the accuracy and precision to 99% for adults, 91% for youth, and 96% combined. With validation sample of 236 the sensitivity-specificity was 97%. The ASP mass murder has 16 questions based on a sample of 630 spree shooters gathered from records (1936-2021) and is 71% accurate (based on school and workplace event). There are two books, the “Math & Science of Preventing Violence” which has 25 peer reviewed scientific articles and secondly, the “Cases & Case Studies which has 125 persons with computer tests and survey equations. Both help the reader understand how to prevent violence by comparing normal persons with homicidal, mass murdering, and sex offending.

Insurance & Brokers (Building Picture)

Violence costs $49B yearly business losses; homicides = $3.8M/killing; survivor workplace injury = $33-55K/assault; homicides, mass shootings are the leading work fatality cause; sex offending = $133K-$100M/victim. Insurance & brokers can demand liability contracts specify computer tests, equation survey use in human resources and raise exclusions based on violence equation descriptors, improving continuing education (background-credit checks, warning sign training, metal detectors, active shooter drills,and  education on computer tests, equation surveys which raise the accuracy of finding high risk to 97%).

Schools & Colleges (building with clock)

Every year in the USA, the workplace & school homicides and mass murders are more frequent than battlefield military deaths. One easily recalls Columbine, Parkland, Sandy Hook, Uvalde, and Virginia Tech University. Schools & college have active shooter drills, but do not universally use computer tests, equation surveys. One must find the mentally ill, violence prone challenges beforehand and use metal detectors, locked campuses, background-credit checks, warning sign training, liability contracts for professionals, and courses on the math & science, cases & case studies of violence prevention.

Places of Workship (Church)

For three decades the sex offending, homicides and mass murders in places of worship are rising, while continued use of current ways miss most at-risk persons. There are 40,320 deceptive dishonest presentations to others and 1,000 mental illness = 40,320,000 deceptive mental illness violent prone presentations. Nonprofit, religious organizations are going bankrupt with liability payouts in the billions and tens of thousands of victims with the $130K-$100M expense/victim. Over 95 years among 310K persons in 212 scientific studies there is a 7-point violence profile on computer tests, equation surveys. The 7-point violence profile is violence, deception, depression, antisocial behavior, paranoia, schizophrenic thinking, and addiction-alcoholism. Homicidal, mass murdering, sex offending can be predicted & prevented for a century now.

Judges, Lawyers, & Prisons (Court picture) The courts, jails and prisons have increasing numbers of violent prone, mental-ill, high-risk persons. Since the current ways of background, credit checks, interviews, judgement, medical exams & paper tests miss most and that there are 40,320,000 deceptive self-presentations of violence-prone, mental illness, computer tests, equation surveys offer a solution. Judges, lawyers and wardens can pinpoint scientific diversions, treatments, jail, prison for challenges facing them.  Probation-parole tests were first developed in Illinois by University of Chicago statistician Burgess in 1923 and are used globally now. The ASP adult and youth, behavior rating, and self-report was made with random sampling, matched control-normal persons, males, females, infants, children, teens, adults (N=2,272) followed up to ten years in records after computer tests, equation surveys to give a solution to a deadly and expensive issue.

Meet the the Individuals behind Ask Standard Predictor

Robert John Zagar, Ph.D., M.P.H., is a distinguished researcher, statistician, psychologist, and professor. He earned his bachelor’s degree from the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee and a master’s degree from the Illinois Institute of Technology. Dr. Zagar is recognized as an expert in research design and evaluation, having graduated from Northwestern University’s top-rated program.

He completed fellowships in sleep disorders at Rush University and public health prevention at the University of Illinois Medical Center. Additionally, he studied pre-medical and basic medical sciences for two years.

Dr. Zagar is a registered clinical psychologist, a certified school psychologist, and is listed on the National Register of Health Care Providers in Psychology. He also serves as a sworn officer of the Circuit Court of Cook County’s Juvenile Division.

With over forty published articles and book chapters, Dr. Zagar has collaborated with leading scholars worldwide. His work has been featured in major publications like Newsweek, The New York Times, the Chicago Tribune, and the Sun-Times, as well as on radio and television networks such as ABC, NBC, CNN, FOX, and CBS.

Dr. Zagar has received scholarships from Northwestern and Rush University, as well as a National Service Award from the National Institute of Mental Health. He is a member of several prestigious organizations, including Who’s Who in the World, Who’s Who in America, and the Delta Omega National Public Health Honorary Society.

He has also served on Mayor Daley’s Youth Violence Task Force and has been consulted by national leaders for his professional expertise. As a sworn officer of the Court, Dr. Zagar has extensive experience as an expert witness in cases involving competence, personal injury, workers’ compensation, and presentencing.